Real estate demand in Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad rising as macro economic scenario weighs on Mumbai

Real estate demand in southern cities like Bengaluru, Chennai, and Hyderabad showed resilience in early 2023, contrasting with challenges in Mumbai influenced by macroeconomic pressures such as rising interest rates. A Knight Frank report for January-March 2023 highlighted stable national residential sales at 79,126 units, up 1% year-over-year, driven by mid-to-premium segments.

Southern Cities Lead Sales Growth

Hyderabad recorded the strongest growth at 19% YoY in residential sales, reaching 8,300 units, while Chennai saw 8% growth to 3,650 units. Bengaluru experienced a slight 2% dip to 13,390 units but led price appreciation at 7% YoY, followed by Mumbai at 6%. These trends reflect affordability advantages in southern markets amid RBI repo rate hikes totaling 250 basis points since May 2022, pushing home loan rates toward pre-pandemic levels.

Mumbai Faces Headwinds

Mumbai’s sales slipped 6% YoY to 20,300 units despite high supply launches, signaling sensitivity to economic slowdowns and inflation concerns. National unsold inventory rose 6% YoY, but quarters-to-sell improved to 7.2 from 9.1, indicating robust demand overall. Southern cities benefited from steady occupier activity in IT and flex spaces, with Bengaluru transacting 31% of office space at 0.33 mn sq m.

Market Outlook

Prices grew across markets for the fifth straight quarter, with new launches up 12% YoY to 87,299 units, as developers met demand for ready and near-ready inventory. Flex spaces captured 29% of office transactions, particularly in Bengaluru. Experts noted that while inflation persists at 6.4%, moderating global commodity prices could sustain momentum into 2023.